Classic-Frosting
0x7554969a8bb013c442df437bb57264389329073d
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$53.0K
Total PnL
$363.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.0K
$7.5K
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15022 shares @ 50.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.3K
$5.8K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.0K
$-7.5K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
5000 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.0K
$47.50
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
3000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$45.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15022 shares @ 50.0¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.8K
$-5.8K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
1000 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$998.50
$20.50
- NO
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1044 shares @ 73.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$929.56
$158.67
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
929 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$924.37
$14.39
- NO
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
942 shares @ 62.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$744.37
$160.18
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.56Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 27, 16:31 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.57Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$452.25Jul 20, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$103.01Jul 19, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 19, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 19, 15:01 UTC
- YIELD$3.57Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$42.62Jul 18, 15:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $336.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 21:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.