Bountiful-Hepatitis-Nonbeliever
0x756f480520e11bdc55cf92f35d456e025a5ccb55
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$30.08
Total PnL
$864.27
Realised
$866.18
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.05
$1.05
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.58
$1.58
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.35
$1.35
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 12.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.83
$0.83
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 68.2¢·now 79.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.16
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?$1.02Aug 12, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?$1.02Aug 12, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$2.91Aug 3, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?$1.00Aug 1, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?$1.03Aug 1, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?$1.03Aug 1, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$3.00Aug 1, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?$1.00Aug 1, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President before GTA VI?$0.98Aug 1, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.00Aug 1, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$4.90Aug 1, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?$1.00Jul 31, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Death to America" in August?$1.03Jul 31, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$1.00Jul 31, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Jul 31, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Jul 31, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$1.00Jul 31, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$6.25Jul 31, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.01Jul 31, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.04Jul 31, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.