Worried-Fear
0x7570eccbce1229051785c50c98baa744efbdffc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$53.93
Total PnL
$-81.64
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.50
$-38.50
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?
50 shares @ 31.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.25
$-2.25
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
50 shares @ 35.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$8.25
$-9.25
- NO
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.20
$-3.00
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.25
$-17.75
- YES
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$3.48
$-1.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?$1.23May 16, 01:31 UTC
- REWARD$4.20May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$11.20May 15, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?$1.20May 15, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?$15.93May 15, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?$2.39May 15, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?$1.00May 15, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?$30.60May 15, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$17.50May 15, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?$11.00May 15, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?$33.50May 15, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?$22.00May 15, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?$25.00May 15, 02:35 UTC
- REWARD$7.22May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$5.30May 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?$19.02May 14, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?$22.00May 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$0.02May 14, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?$4.10May 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?$4.00May 14, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 01:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".