Defiant-Talent
0x7576108e41b86b5c10e03b6d13fcce9ac859d0ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$9.56
Total PnL
$-26.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 92.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.71
$0.71
- NO
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
117 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Feb 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.00Feb 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$1.00Feb 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?$1.00Feb 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$1.00Feb 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$1.00Feb 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?$1.00Feb 2, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 3?$1.00Feb 1, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 3?$1.00Feb 1, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)$1.00Feb 1, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 3?$1.00Feb 1, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 3?$1.00Feb 1, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aperture by Harry Styles be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 7?$1.00Feb 1, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "How to Train Your Dragon" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.00Feb 1, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pfizer Inc (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Feb 1, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.