Flaky-Propane
0x758adf2130f90a48569969faf04365247aa16967
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$77.56
Total PnL
$-19.2K
Realised
$-9.3K
Win rate
7%
194 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
470 shares @ 23.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.56
$-32.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
452 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-241.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
450 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-157.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
358 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-132.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
356 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-138.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
341 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-140.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
341 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-175.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
322 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-136.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
307 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-143.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
304 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-140.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.00May 26, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$6.00May 19, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$6.00May 19, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$8.00May 19, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$9.00May 19, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$12.00May 19, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$15.99May 19, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$16.00May 19, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$16.00May 19, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$23.00May 19, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$23.99May 19, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$60.00May 19, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.00May 19, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.00May 19, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.78May 19, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.99May 19, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.99May 19, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$5.00May 19, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$6.00May 19, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.00May 19, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 03:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 194 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".