0x75a24a2a586eb8e6bf8a0f3fa0a5739f05595c92
0x75a24a2a586eb8e6bf8a0f3fa0a5739f05595c92
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-391.00
Realised
$-145.38
Win rate
2%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10?
3022 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
55 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-04-14?
49 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.14
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-04-24?
20 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.94
- YES
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.19
- YES
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-04-08?
16 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.05
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
16 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- SUNS
Thunder vs. Suns
15 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$4.19Jul 11, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$5.21May 17, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$2.56May 15, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Knicks$4.23May 5, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: AS Roma (-1.5)$2.63May 5, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: AS Roma (-1.5)$1.03May 4, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5$2.05May 4, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Knicks$3.06May 4, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Athletics$3.39May 4, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5$4.05May 4, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Athletics$2.04May 3, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5$3.05May 3, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5$2.05May 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays$2.04May 3, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox$2.04May 3, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?$1.54May 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs$5.20May 3, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs$4.07May 3, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$1.63May 3, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?$1.70May 3, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
52 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 19:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.