Gray-Utilization
0x75a79b8a261d409deaa22569a9fefc30dfb1e4c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$150.85
Total PnL
$-13.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$6.00
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by December 31?
20 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.44
$0.44
- NO
China coup attempt in 2025?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.80
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?
20 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$21.14Dec 30, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?$0.00Dec 27, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$24.69Dec 27, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$149.25Dec 27, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$103.56Dec 27, 02:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 27, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 26, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 25, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 24, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 23, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 22, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 21, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 20, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 19, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 18, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 17, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 16, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 15, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 14, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 13, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $62.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.