0x75c5ca187326c97e7ac0fa6c69a5d7401316870f
0x75c5ca187326c97e7ac0fa6c69a5d7401316870f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$23.03
Total PnL
$-14.08
Realised
$-2.86
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win between 130 and 159 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$6.05
$0.01
- NO
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
3 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$2.82
$0.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
4 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.05
$-0.05
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.71
$0.01
- YES
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.26
$0.01
- NO
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-0.02
- NO
Will the Workers’ Party of Bangladesh finish with the second most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$1.10
$0.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.02
- NO
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.08
$-0.01
- NO
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.08
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.02Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.02Jun 14, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.01Jun 14, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.01Jun 14, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$0.58Jun 1, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$0.12May 28, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$1.47May 25, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?$1.50May 25, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$1.04May 22, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$1.10May 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?$2.12May 21, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$0.08May 20, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.09May 19, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.98May 18, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.27May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$0.88May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.13May 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.09May 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$2.23May 17, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?$1.51May 17, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.