0x75c5ca187326c97e7ac0fa6c69a5d7401316870f
0x75c5ca187326c97e7ac0fa6c69a5d7401316870f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$19.00
Total PnL
$-14.08
Realised
$-3.08
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win between 130 and 159 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$6.05
$0.01
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.71
$0.01
- YES
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.26
$0.01
- NO
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
1 shares @ 69.4¢·now 82.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.22
$0.20
- NO
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.10
$0.01
- NO
Will the Workers’ Party of Bangladesh finish with the second most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$1.10
$0.00
- NO
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- YES
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 88.8¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$1.02
$0.07
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$0.29Jul 29, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$0.29Jul 29, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$0.03Jul 29, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$0.01Jul 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$0.03Jul 28, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$0.01Jul 28, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$0.01Jul 28, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$0.02Jul 28, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$0.03Jul 26, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$0.01Jul 24, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$0.01Jul 24, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$0.10Jul 23, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$1.10Jul 23, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$0.02Jul 23, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$0.05Jul 23, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$0.05Jul 23, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$0.04Jul 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$0.25Jul 23, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$0.03Jul 22, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$0.03Jul 22, 17:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 01:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.