Silly-Instinct
0x75ca22fbe88f9925989447cf5a0f6427cd9c95af
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$3.14
Total PnL
$-45.47
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.17
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 15?
5343 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 17?
1096 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.38
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on February 10?
1092 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 23?
1088 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16?
1087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 7?
1087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12?
1084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 7?
1083 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12?$0.06Jun 12, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12?$2.11Jun 12, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3?$2.10Jun 3, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.16Jun 2, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.11May 31, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?$2.09May 25, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.23May 22, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.22May 21, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?$1.51May 16, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?$2.14May 7, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.11May 6, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?$1.1KMay 2, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.22May 2, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?$1.1KMay 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on May 1?$1.1KMay 2, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.20May 1, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on May 1?$1.1KMay 1, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?$1.1KApr 30, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?$1.1KApr 30, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 29?$1.1KApr 30, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $382.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 03:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.