Deafening-Possible
0x75cbe506ceec7bb80331954e9a47212ea62f1556
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.85
Total PnL
$-150.13
Realised
$48.39
Win rate
100%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.13
$-1.13
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.60
$-0.60
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.52
$-0.53
- YES
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.45
$-0.45
- YES
Will Marni Sawicki win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?
445 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.44
$0.00
- YES
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
825 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.41
$-0.41
- YES
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
784 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.39
$-0.39
- YES
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
450 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.22
$-0.23
- YES
Will Tim Jacobson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
450 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.22
$-0.23
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
450 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.22
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?$0.01Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?$0.01Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?$0.05Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?$0.01Jul 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?$0.02Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?$0.01Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?$0.01Jul 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting?$0.01Jul 28, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting?$0.01Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting?$0.02Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?$0.00Jul 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?$0.00Jul 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?$0.00Jul 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$0.03Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$0.04Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$0.01Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$0.35Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 US song this week?$0.02Jul 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #1 US song this week?$0.02Jul 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?$0.02Jul 28, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.