Wavy-Savior
0x75e598629732c64a87493f082b711b6828edb79d
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$392.12
Total PnL
$-15.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
361 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$355.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
17 shares @ 44.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.73
$-0.77
- NO
Will the earnings call not air?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$2.21
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on July 23?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.00
$0.01
- NO
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in July?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 92.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.51
$0.01
- NO
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.25
$0.15
- YES
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.23
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?$2.01Jul 23, 18:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$356.32Jul 22, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on July 23?$2.00Jul 22, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in July?$2.00Jul 22, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the earnings call not air?$3.00Jul 22, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the top song for 2026?$1.00Jul 22, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?$2.02Jul 17, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$92.20Jul 16, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$249.46Jul 16, 08:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$342.01Jul 15, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.01Jul 15, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?$2.00Jul 15, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$1.25Jul 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$1.20Jul 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.51Jul 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?$2.00Jul 15, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 15, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$344.76Jul 15, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $73.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.