Experienced-Fennel
0x75f4f874368c0e4aa0ac0e37291b2eb1f6696ded
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-177.54
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
218 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.54
- YES
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?
130 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
120 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "One Battle After Another" win 10 or more awards at the Oscars?
119 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
92 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 9 awards at the Oscars?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?
46 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
41 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$0.00Jul 14, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?$10.00Jul 14, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$6.19Jul 14, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Apr 8, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$5.88Apr 8, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$3.00Apr 1, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.00Mar 24, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?$8.01Mar 24, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?$35.00Mar 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$5.00Mar 21, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 21, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?$0.00Mar 19, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?$0.00Mar 19, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sinners" win 10 or more awards at the Oscars?$0.00Mar 19, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sinners" win exactly 9 awards at the Oscars?$0.00Mar 19, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sinners" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?$0.00Mar 19, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?$10.00Mar 19, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?$5.00Mar 19, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$5.00Mar 19, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.