Mammoth-Reprocessing
0x762fb17a337e65babe3302cc6605d37f65fb2cb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$53.24
Total PnL
$0.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.00Jul 20, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser in 2025?$0.00Jul 20, 09:50 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.3KJul 20, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$51.65Jul 20, 09:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?$1.02Jul 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.01Jul 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$1.01Jul 17, 21:13 UTC
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.3KJul 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$50.01Jul 17, 21:12 UTC
- MERGEWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$200.00May 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50.06May 6, 23:03 UTC
- SPLITWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$200.00May 6, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 6, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.05May 6, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Angola win on 2025-10-12?$2.13May 6, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mauritius win on 2025-10-12?$2.22May 6, 22:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $299.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 15, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.