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0x7635c566ec9441b133a3b8f50178c993ec9f9a34
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$231.17
Total PnL
$-13.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?
53 shares @ 95.7¢·now 93.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$49.76
$-1.06
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
51 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.53
$-0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
51 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.45
$-0.23
- NO
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
50 shares @ 94.5¢·now 84.6¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$42.30
$-4.95
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
50 shares @ 95.6¢·now 80.3¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$40.13
$-7.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.75Jul 24, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$49.68Jul 24, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30.02Jul 20, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$16.88Jul 20, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$49.56Jul 19, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$40.82Jul 1, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$23.29Jun 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.98Jun 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$6.84Jun 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.96Jun 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?$50.83Jun 25, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$40.00Jun 22, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.09Jun 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jun 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jun 17, 11:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $26.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.