Disloyal-Crisis
0x76386a0479e1f30383d438d973dfd9be93c7b60c
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.59
Total PnL
$-26.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 10.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$-1.88
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
978 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 15, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 15, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$5.25May 13, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.00May 13, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.07May 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$1.03May 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.07May 13, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.22May 13, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.02May 13, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$3.00Mar 11, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 10, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?$3.00Mar 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$4.00Mar 10, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 10, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.