Careless-Juggernaut
0x763b83e87d883c38031249ae816146881a624777
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?
1081 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$1.1K
$80.98
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
1055 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.1K
$54.85
- ROYAL CHALLENGERS BANGALORE
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans
460 shares @ 53.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$460.29
$214.53
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
238 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$238.10
$38.10
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
175 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.44
$75.44
- DELHI CAPITALS
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals
102 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$102.04
$2.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 1?
100 shares @ 76.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$100.00
$23.61
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.11
$-38.89
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
8672 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-185.68
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
4717 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-140.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals$100.06May 1, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals$28.65May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals$24.55May 1, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans$114.24Apr 24, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans$135.00Apr 24, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?$0.05Mar 1, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?$9.12Mar 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?$28.50Mar 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?$0.33Mar 1, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 1?$0.05Mar 1, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 1?$11.70Mar 1, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 1?$0.49Mar 1, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 1?$5.94Mar 1, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 1?$8.72Mar 1, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 1?$0.29Mar 1, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 1?$49.50Mar 1, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?$0.21Mar 1, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?$2.99Mar 1, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?$1.15Mar 1, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?$1.52Mar 1, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $97.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.