0x7645b5298664c59e0d6d86a0ed1ecc42dd3c201b
0x7645b5298664c59e0d6d86a0ed1ecc42dd3c201b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$38.98
Total PnL
$-46.83
Realised
$2.10
Win rate
31%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 19?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$25.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
15 shares @ 12.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$7.41
$5.65
- YES
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.47
$0.91
- YES
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.80
- YES
Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
15 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.32
$-0.44
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.43
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2 shares @ 32.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.22
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on March 22?
482 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 20?
446 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.87
- YES
Will Adam Steen win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
38 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Adam Steen win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$0.20Apr 24, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Steen win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$2.00Apr 21, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 22?$0.43Apr 21, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$2.37Apr 21, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 22?$0.09Apr 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 22?$0.57Apr 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 22?$0.19Apr 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 22?$0.85Apr 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 22?$0.48Apr 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 22?$0.07Apr 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?$0.22Apr 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$0.08Apr 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 20?$0.29Apr 20, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$2.86Apr 20, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$1.10Apr 20, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.55Apr 20, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$2.40Apr 20, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$2.40Apr 20, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 20?$2.27Apr 20, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?$2.00Apr 20, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".