Full-Parallelogram
0x764a52c4f9cd96731c8efb8c600b3532a2e99747
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$7.50
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-22.50
- YES
Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) beat quarterly earnings?
2355 shares @ 77.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
1200 shares @ 81.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-973.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
400 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-123.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?
300 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?
200 shares @ 78.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-157.00
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
200 shares @ 66.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-133.67
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
200 shares @ 81.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-163.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 9?
200 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-95.99
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 26 above $435?
174 shares @ 76.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-132.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $190?$100.00Jun 10, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$665.07Jun 10, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$15.49Mar 16, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$3.45Mar 16, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$6.94Mar 16, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$11.58Mar 16, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$31.54Mar 11, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$48.30Mar 11, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$70.00Mar 11, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$20.70Mar 11, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$69.00Mar 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$69.00Mar 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$69.00Mar 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$69.00Mar 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?$88.00Feb 20, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?$69.00Feb 20, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of January 26 above $710?$42.40Feb 20, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 26 above $425?$56.25Feb 20, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of January?$100.00Feb 20, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?$100.00Feb 20, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $68.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.