Frightened-Wetsuit
0x764fdddb62698b5566e641424715a9b7f3c064a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
155
Open notional
$295.13
Total PnL
$-25.2K
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 155- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
277 shares @ 49.8¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$58.13
$-79.84
- YES
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?
124 shares @ 48.1¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.64
$-15.06
- YES
Stripe IPO before 2027?
1669 shares @ 12.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.73
$-161.37
- NO
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?
47 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$38.77
$4.00
- NO
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 53.3¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.38
$10.80
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 59.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.87
$5.58
- YES
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?
127 shares @ 22.6¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.59
$-7.11
- NO
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 51.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.96
$4.80
- NO
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.33
$1.44
- NO
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 31.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.00
$0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?$5.90Jul 20, 17:24 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.98Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.81Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.54Jul 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.28Jul 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$14.90Jul 16, 00:48 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$18.83Jul 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.07Jul 13, 01:02 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.56Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$14.99Jul 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.16Jul 10, 00:35 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$33.82Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.82Jul 9, 00:48 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$19.82Jul 8, 00:55 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$35.49Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$17.34Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$52.03Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$79.17Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$37.08Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$53.41Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $40.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 17:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.