Cautious-Bookend
0x76538f112d78f739eb4afb537b828612c8710cb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.02
Total PnL
$-1.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$4.85Mar 31, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$9.90Mar 31, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.01Mar 31, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$9.99Mar 31, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$9.97Mar 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.98Mar 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$9.97Mar 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$9.99Mar 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$11.96Mar 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$4.97Mar 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?$9.51Mar 30, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 30, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$10.00Mar 30, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?$10.00Mar 30, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$10.00Mar 30, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$10.00Mar 30, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$10.00Mar 30, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$10.00Mar 30, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$10.00Mar 30, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 30, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $8.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 01:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.