Thrifty-Perspective
0x7676533bc4c67b30077776a70e8921b27e073e69
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$240.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2411 shares @ 70.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.4K
$719.81
- NO
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
13 shares @ 79.3¢·now 89.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.27
$1.27
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$-2.87
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
336 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
212 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-144.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
117 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-67.88
- YES
Bikinis back on X by January 16?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
65 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-23.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
57 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-24.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$188.00Jul 1, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.5KJul 1, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.7KJun 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.53Jun 13, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.6KJun 2, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.6KJun 2, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$43.00May 11, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$40.00May 11, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.3KMay 11, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$1.3KMay 11, 05:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$61.00May 1, 10:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $405.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.