Smoggy-Foal
0x7692984decefa6895a63e3dac9dc7f6d7ac44a97
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$290.00
Total PnL
$-103.70
Realised
$1.90
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
240 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$240.00
$5.04
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
29 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$29.00
$14.79
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.00
$5.46
- YES
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$5.00
$2.10
- NO
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.00
$0.76
- NO
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$3.00
$0.60
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
2 shares @ 82.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$0.36
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
584 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-13.32
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
229 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-22.37
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
54 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-18.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$7.04Jan 15, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$7.92Jan 15, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$15.77Jan 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$11.18Jan 15, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$3.44Jan 15, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?$3.50Jan 15, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$15.58Jan 15, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?$3.55Jan 15, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?$1.80Jan 15, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?$4.20Jan 15, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$1.05Jan 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$10.50Jan 15, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$10.95Jan 15, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$0.80Jan 15, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$0.80Jan 15, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$11.22Jan 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?$5.92Jan 15, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange$8.16Jan 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$1.92Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$1.90Jan 15, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 22:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 14:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.