Frightened-Western
0x76cdb781870dc761b50912fd299c40d8dbc288cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$16.45
Total PnL
$-10.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
25 shares @ 12.2¢·now 26.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.55
$3.55
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- NO
Will Trump say "DOGE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "ICE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Feb 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$10.00Feb 14, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Feb 14, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.00Feb 14, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win La Liga?$15.52Aug 11, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$26.03Aug 11, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "DOGE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$10.00Aug 11, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "ICE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$1.00Aug 11, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?$0.00May 9, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00May 9, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$0.00May 9, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$0.00May 9, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$3.66May 9, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$9.32May 9, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?$1.00Apr 22, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$5.00Apr 20, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?$0.00Apr 20, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?$2.33Apr 6, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$1.00Mar 31, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$7.48Mar 25, 17:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 23:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 11:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".