Wallet profile

Fortunate-Turnstile

0x76cf0286fa25599a491ea4980abee915eece9452

activity 62/100

Wallet digest

whale

Activity score

62/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

74

Open notional

$50.5K

Total PnL

$-357.2K

Realised

$-10.5K

Win rate

54%

13 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 74

Recent activity

  • YIELD$4.44Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$4.48Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
  • YIELD$4.53Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$4.56Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
  • YIELD$4.57Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
  • YIELD$4.57Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
  • YIELD$4.56Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
  • YIELD$4.57Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$4.59Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
  • YIELD$4.56Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
  • YIELD$4.65Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$4.65Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
  • YIELD$4.68Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
  • YIELD$4.64Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
  • YIELD$4.60Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
  • YIELD$4.62Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
  • YIELD$4.49Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$4.43Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$4.46Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
  • YIELD$4.31Jul 10, 00:16 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$26.0K

Trades

1

Buy share

68%

Window

May 17, 12:50 UTC → May 28, 16:49 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

35/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

Elevated mirror risk

Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

54% win rate over 13 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

0 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

68%

Sample

limited

3 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

$9.8K · 38% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs38% of recorded volume$9.8KLoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner32% of recorded volume$8.3KLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner30% of recorded volume$7.9K

Profile dimensions

Activity30 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence43 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry51 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk50 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
0
Avg trade size
$0.00
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
Last active
Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
Win rate sample
13 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 02:00:41 UTC·src:Polymarket Data