LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Probability
58¢
1h
+9.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.9K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 43h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 03Resolution proximity
Expiry in 43h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 43 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 43.2h
- 19:46SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 43h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 58¢.
Biggest hourly move: +8.0pp at 01:00 (to 58¢).
Show top 8 of 17 hourly moves
- 19:00 · +7.0pp → 58¢
- 18:00 · +7.0pp → 58¢
- 16:00 · +7.0pp → 58¢
- 13:00 · +7.0pp → 58¢
- 12:00 · +7.0pp → 58¢
- 11:00 · +7.0pp → 58¢
- 10:00 · +7.0pp → 58¢
- 01:00 · +8.0pp → 58¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 1 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 2 against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 2 against Weibo Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.