Angry-Trout
0x76f7af285ff9fb0237dff1fb8175afaaf4c12bf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-81.20
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
51515 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-391.20
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
17533 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7359 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-471.00
- YES
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
2044 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
923 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
904 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.97
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
807 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-153.33
- NO
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
749 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$74.51Jul 10, 17:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.04Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$71.76Jul 9, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$62.79Jul 9, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62.71Jul 9, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$80.55Jul 9, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$80.07Jul 9, 11:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93.24Jul 1, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?$92.82Jul 1, 17:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $96.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 19:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.