Lumpy-Cane
0x76fabebab25c337546dfbc1d52e5e26e93411d80
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
94
Open notional
$7.47
Total PnL
$-927.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- NO
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.53
$0.00
- NO
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.35
$-0.00
- NO
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.30
$-0.00
- NO
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.23
$-0.00
- NO
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.03
$0.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: Other
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- YES
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
11 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.02
$0.01
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 720 and 749 times August 29–September 5?
9514 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.03May 23, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.35May 22, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: Other$1.01May 21, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$3.42May 1, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $150 in April?$1.00May 1, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.56May 1, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$1.13May 1, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.23Apr 30, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$1.13Apr 30, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.30Apr 29, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.53Apr 28, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.55Apr 27, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.05Apr 27, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 in April?$1.00Apr 25, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on April 24?$1.00Apr 25, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on April 24?$1.00Apr 24, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$24.10Apr 23, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$3.42Apr 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$24.00Apr 19, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".