Dapper-Collateral
0x770f02200068fc85a9a8473f616378372acfdbd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.78
Total PnL
$-21.42
Realised
$-0.82
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
7 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$1.03Aug 18, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPackers vs. Broncos AND 49ers vs. Chargers AND Saints vs. Rams AND Jets vs. Steelers AND Bills vs. Browns$1.00Aug 17, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$1.62Jun 29, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$1.53Jun 29, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance$1.02Jun 29, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$1.44Jun 28, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.33Jun 28, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$1.39Jun 28, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$1.02Jun 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-06-27?$1.28Jun 27, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-27?$1.01Jun 27, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$3.23Jun 27, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$1.02Jun 27, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$2.91Jun 27, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$2.03Jun 27, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$6.06Jun 26, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$6.00Jun 26, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$1.02Jun 26, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$1.03Jun 26, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?$1.03Jun 26, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.