Positive-Refund
0x771b8d5fed9485f8207f0ea560c65c145d3909c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$21.15
Total PnL
$-6.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.45
$1.45
- YES
Will Metz be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.08
$1.08
- HAWKS
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- HORNETS
Magic vs. Hornets
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- BULLS
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- BUCKS
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Jazz
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.44
$0.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers$1.00Mar 16, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYHoward Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers$1.00Mar 16, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bucks (-2.5)$1.00Mar 16, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Jazz$1.00Mar 16, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Heat$1.00Mar 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Hornets$1.00Mar 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Pelicans$1.00Mar 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$1.00Mar 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bulls (-5.5)$1.00Mar 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-8.5)$1.00Mar 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)$1.00Mar 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hawks (-2.5)$1.00Mar 16, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.32Mar 16, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.41Mar 16, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Cup?$1.82Mar 16, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.60Mar 16, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$1.00Jan 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".