Able-Kielbasa
0x77266604e63f5caf08d19caebae0c563ce064aee
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$14.2K
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$34.20
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
15000 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$12.8K
$675.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1000 shares @ 65.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$894.99
$245.00
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
8631 shares @ 6.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$254.60
$-322.46
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
5256 shares @ 24.1¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$236.53
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
43100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-560.30
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
14000 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
11192 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-535.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 18?
11030 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-89.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 24?
7314 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-18.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?
7122 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-161.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.20Jun 3, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$70.00Jun 3, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$12.64Jun 3, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$8.88Jun 3, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$24.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$24.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$24.00Jun 3, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00Jun 3, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$12.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 3, 02:00 UTC → Jun 3, 01:54 UTC
- SELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$12.2K@97¢Jun 3, 01:54 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$12.2K
1 trades
30d volume
$12.2K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$12.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".