Novel-Mitten
0x7734cfd11ebce1b201ebb4003e2ec874e8726851
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.06
Total PnL
$-6.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$1.06
$0.01
- YES
Will Juan Ayuso finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
Will Carter Verhaeghe score a goal in Game 6?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.13
- NO
Will FURIA win FISSURE Playground 2?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$1.05Jan 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLOstium FDV above $700M one day after launch?$1.51Jan 1, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$1.22Jan 1, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$1.20Dec 26, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.03Dec 21, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMOver $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$1.66Dec 21, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$1.49Dec 16, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.04Dec 8, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.06Dec 7, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?$1.43Dec 4, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOstium FDV above $700M one day after launch?$1.49Dec 2, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.46Nov 29, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?$1.40Nov 18, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$1.32Nov 18, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$1.34Nov 12, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dodgers beat the Blue Jays 4-2$1.66Nov 1, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?$1.73Nov 1, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dodgers beat the Blue Jays 4-2$1.11Oct 29, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.05Oct 25, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$1.19Oct 8, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 10:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".