Solid-Doctrine
0x773c28b96dac43ea671d840fd98f4f031eb6cc98
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-118.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
949 shares @ 91.3¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$739.86
$-126.45
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
756 shares @ 86.6¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$608.25
$-45.97
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in July?
450 shares @ 92.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$447.29
$30.15
- NO
ByteDance IPO before 2027?
456 shares @ 92.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$426.36
$3.38
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
200 shares @ 91.2¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.30
$10.90
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
100 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.05
$1.75
- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in July?
58 shares @ 87.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$56.81
$6.11
- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in July?
50 shares @ 95.5¢·now 91.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$45.55
$-2.20
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
40 shares @ 89.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$36.37
$0.08
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
30 shares @ 87.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.74
$1.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$9.31Jul 21, 12:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$100.19Jul 16, 07:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in July?$47.75Jul 14, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spain (-1.5)$0.00Jul 14, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $41.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.