Luminous-Folklore
0x77488a54b5101fafaa0edbc85d061d309237f69c
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$37.05
Total PnL
$-197.23
Realised
$-33.71
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
82 shares @ 30.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.56
$-9.01
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?
65 shares @ 38.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.44
$-13.56
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 39.7¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.34
$-11.66
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
368 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.39
$-2.61
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.80
$-4.20
- NO
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
206 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.52
$-9.48
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
969 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?
183 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?
59 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?$25.62Jun 4, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$18.43Jun 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.20Jun 3, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$5.15Jun 3, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$10.29Jun 3, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$39.77Jun 3, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.12Jun 3, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$15.60Jun 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.80Jun 3, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$39.28Jun 3, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$51.76Jun 3, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$22.88Jun 3, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?$23.35Jun 2, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$25.26Jun 1, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?$3.14Jun 1, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?$27.52Jun 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$5.00Jun 1, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$5.97Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$7.00May 28, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$6.18May 28, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 12:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.