Cumbersome-Obligation
0x775cbb4ab498b727a9f8f9979374535633e879ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$546.23
Total PnL
$-79.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
283 shares @ 40.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$120.28
$7.08
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
283 shares @ 41.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$103.23
$-12.73
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
102 shares @ 86.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$101.49
$13.16
- NO
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.00
$12.00
- NO
Obama federally charged before 2027?
65 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.98
$2.43
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
283 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$49.52
$4.24
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
65 shares @ 7.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.47
$2.92
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
283 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.26
$-0.02
- NO
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
1138 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-82.55
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?
280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.28
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$11.91May 29, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$88.81May 29, 04:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 28, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $40.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.