Political-Mincemeat
0x77a357b71e1bac83b70abf2fa00d1511a030198c
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.38
Total PnL
$-28.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.39
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 15?
6430 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.86
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 22?
2099 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 27?
2084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 3?
2077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 25?
1099 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 28?
1076 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 3?$4.153h ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?$2.1K2d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?$2.1K2d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 1?$2.1K2d ago
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$4.283d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 1?$2.1K3d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?$2.1K3d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?$2.1K3d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 30?$2.1K3d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 30?$2.1K4d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?$2.1K4d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?$2.1K5d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 28?$2.1K5d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 28?$2.1K5d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 27?$4.176d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 22?$4.1811d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 22?$0.0211d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$4.2518d ago
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.4024d ago
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$5.8233d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $398.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 109d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".