False-Duckling
0x77a4202fc39c0ecb5fb998825f2bd0368ece67f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$45.08
Total PnL
$0.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
54 shares @ 31.4¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$16.33
$-0.48
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
8 shares @ 64.1¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 88.2¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.32
$0.32
- INSOMNIA
Valorant: Riddle vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw?$0.00Jun 3, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw?$1.02Jun 2, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Riddle vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage$2.04Jun 2, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 1, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTurkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.05Jun 1, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$10.21Jun 1, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-05-31?$5.68May 31, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-05-31?$5.02May 31, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 31, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.22May 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.15May 30, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.00May 30, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.06May 30, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.52May 30, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.05May 30, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00May 30, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 30, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".