Unsteady-Footnote
0x77e577312c594b8a3b72c9e34d73c27bdb88ac0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-393.84
Realised
$-1.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?
121 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-87.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
69 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 IR Iran?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?
47 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
40 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
40 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?$87.14Jul 2, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$88.14Jul 2, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$84.96Jul 1, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$85.00Jun 30, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$80.09Jun 24, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?$80.46Jun 24, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?$66.56Jun 23, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$66.30Jun 23, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$61.20Jun 21, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?$2.05Jun 21, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 IR Iran?$2.05Jun 21, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 IR Iran?$2.06Jun 21, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?$4.11Jun 21, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?$3.07Jun 21, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan?$2.05Jun 20, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$38.63Jun 20, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?$2.06Jun 20, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?$3.08Jun 20, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$15.28Jun 20, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$58.48Jun 18, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $24.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 17:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.