Tender-Likelihood
0x77e7c5653d80e7428fc448676369f324746888ad
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-218.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 8?
3109 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$3.1K
$31.09
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?
663 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$663.00
$8.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11AM ET
5915 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.93
- NO
Bitcoin above 72,400 on April 13, 11AM ET?
249 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-248.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET$2.5K6m ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?$6.4K11m ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET$4.3K57m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET$1.7K2h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET$435.803h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET$22.963h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET$307.643h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET$1.033h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET$1.033h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET$2.793h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET$1.5K3h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET$100.103h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET$748.503h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET$204.244h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET$876.504h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET$149.584h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET$149.584h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET$473.644h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 8?$3.364h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 8?$8.714h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $407.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 21h ago
- Last active
- 6m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
