Insecure-Misplacement
0x78080380dd17eb70d4bd086065c1387e76d53d93
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
80
Open notional
$76.50
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$11.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?
34 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$34.00
$3.37
- YES
Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
27 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$23.51
$0.40
- YES
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
28 shares @ 86.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$19.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above $370?
148 shares @ 89.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-132.96
- YES
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
136 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on March 20?
133 shares @ 88.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-117.55
- YES
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-09?
132 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-112.62
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 26?
125 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-110.39
- YES
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-26?
124 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-109.01
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 23 above $170?
118 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-67.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$28.87Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.83Jun 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$12.58Jun 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$8.70Jun 17, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$30.26Jun 17, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?$23.94Jun 17, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$26.63Jun 17, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?$24.69Jun 17, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?$21.38Jun 17, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 16?$32.07Jun 16, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 16?$28.95Jun 16, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 15?$27.92Jun 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$8.02Jun 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$16.08Jun 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 15?$24.01Jun 15, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?$30.56Jun 15, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$24.86Jun 14, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMGermany leading at halftime?$28.56Jun 14, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany leading at halftime?$24.39Jun 14, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$34.64Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $21.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.