Third-Menu
0x7809eac9bb9effceb6ef9d1e11adb39d4f23e895
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$230.16
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
235 shares @ 48.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$229.58
$116.73
- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.48
$-4.52
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
15 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.06
$-7.94
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.05
$-0.85
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)
8968 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
518 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-128.10
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
448 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.18
- YES
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
429 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.31
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
376 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$0.00Apr 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$28.17Apr 1, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$28.17Apr 1, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$112.85Mar 22, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$36.91Mar 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$75.95Mar 16, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$30.30Mar 4, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?$10.00Mar 4, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$8.00Mar 4, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 4, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$20.00Mar 4, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$60.00Mar 4, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$30.00Mar 1, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$68.29Feb 28, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 28, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$12.00Feb 20, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.00Feb 20, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.00Feb 20, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.00Feb 20, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say “Low IQ” by February 28?$20.00Feb 20, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $28.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 16:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".