Shrill-Cephalopod
0x780a5984bc095bdfae24fb8ea41d0c437eab07bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.97
Total PnL
$-249.82
Realised
$-13.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
101 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.25
$-9.75
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3332 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-148.38
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
246 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
57 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Gachiakuta" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
45 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
16 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$1.06Jun 7, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.92Jun 7, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.03Jun 7, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.19Jun 7, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.05Jun 5, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$2.25Jun 5, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.04Jun 5, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.04Jun 5, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.07Jun 4, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.48Jun 4, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.06Jun 4, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$18.52Jun 4, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$5.26Jun 4, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.05Jun 3, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$4.19Jun 3, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$6.12Jun 3, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$8.21Jun 3, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.15Jun 3, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.80Jun 2, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.20Jun 1, 23:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.