Clear-Foreigner
0x7842b9934ea3ed4c829b6d4287f0d0da91c34d91
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$-289.49
Realised
$222.90
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
1371 shares @ 80.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$110.47
- NO
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
1651 shares @ 59.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$982.38
$-0.93
- NO
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$904.95
$15.00
- NO
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?
799 shares @ 42.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$642.83
$301.69
- NO
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
792 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$558.54
$3.96
- NO
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
506 shares @ 39.9¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$331.26
$129.25
- NO
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
342 shares @ 76.6¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2027$263.41
$1.20
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1690 shares @ 9.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.95
$-62.75
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 10.9¢·now 8.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$89.00
$-20.50
- YES
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
6000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$81.00
$30.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?$14.68Aug 4, 01:03 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.81Aug 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$150.00Aug 4, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?$34.00Aug 4, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.05Aug 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?$1.45Aug 3, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?$28.50Aug 3, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?$9.50Aug 3, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$141.00Aug 3, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arthur Fils Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings$2.70Aug 3, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$209.62Aug 3, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$22.47Aug 3, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$47.80Aug 3, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$7.17Aug 3, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$37.25Aug 3, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$1.38Aug 3, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$77.70Aug 3, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?$562.89Aug 3, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$0.11Aug 3, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $95.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 01:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.