Courteous-Optimisation
0x7842eb63358662cb179b961bb777623eea704845
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$29.25
Total PnL
$-164.04
Realised
$19.03
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
650 shares @ 25.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$29.25
$-133.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on April 5?
640 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on April 7?
367 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on April 5?
338 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 7?
279 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.63
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
148 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 6?
147 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 5?
147 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Jeff Clark as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
147 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 6?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?$0.15May 4, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$127.25May 2, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$36.31May 2, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$2.24Apr 13, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$0.50Apr 13, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.54Apr 6, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 7?$7.76Apr 6, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on April 7?$4.11Apr 4, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 7?$1.69Apr 4, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on April 7?$0.21Apr 4, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mine dropper" this week? (April 5)$0.39Apr 3, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "UFC" this week? (April 5)$0.12Apr 3, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Pahlavi" on Truth Social this week?$0.66Apr 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hot as a pistol" this week? (April 5)$0.02Apr 3, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Caravan" this week? (April 5)$0.02Apr 3, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Caravan" this week? (April 5)$0.90Apr 3, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 3, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 3, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 3, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 3, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 20:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".