Sweet-Uncle
0x786a0607d5db2dbc37d0571fe6b3ac7b1a6094a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$283.63
Total PnL
$415.45
Realised
$538.28
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2788 shares @ 5.1¢·now 3.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$93.39
$-48.88
- YES
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3367 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$67.33
$-14.82
- YES
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3642 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$60.09
$-20.65
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3250 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$39.00
$-39.47
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
214 shares @ 7.1¢·now 7.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$15.70
$0.59
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
77 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$8.11
$0.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.52Jul 29, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.03Jul 29, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.84Jul 29, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.77Jul 28, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.43Jul 28, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.20Jul 28, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.71Jul 28, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.03Jul 28, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.36Jul 28, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.14Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.47Jul 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.48Jul 28, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.09Jul 28, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.12Jul 27, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.01Jul 26, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.00Jul 26, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.13Jul 24, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.77Jul 24, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.21Jul 24, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.00Jul 24, 18:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.