Threadbare-Pianist
0x78a19803306d350cd1120bb07fcfe91a665be6bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$667.12
Total PnL
$-215.79
Realised
$7.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
150 shares @ 36.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$141.68
$87.67
- YES
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
150 shares @ 36.0¢·now 82.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$124.28
$70.28
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 36.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.50
$61.50
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
98 shares @ 37.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.15
$46.74
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
101 shares @ 36.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$62.94
$26.69
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
130 shares @ 10.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$46.12
$33.13
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 36.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.00
$14.37
- YES
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
25 shares @ 36.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$23.40
$14.58
- YES
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
21 shares @ 26.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.49
$13.03
- YES
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
1572 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.08
$-296.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $0.00Jun 13, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$0.00Jun 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $75.24Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $0.38Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $1.60Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$90.00Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $2.40Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$0.11Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $100.00Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $0.38Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$0.08Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$100.05Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$100.00Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 15?$0.00Jun 12, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.3KJun 8, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$93.38Jun 7, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$85.00Jun 7, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$90.00Jun 7, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$72.00Jun 7, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $67.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.