Late-Stump
0x78bcf277edcf25c122622c18415f017088a72585
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
99
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$990.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
2416 shares @ 32.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$592.02
$-186.38
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
1000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$335.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2123 shares @ 6.9¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$262.19
$115.70
- YES
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
1272 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.00
$-257.34
- YES
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1000 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-104.70
- SHNAIDER
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)
1000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?
1000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-430.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1000 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-191.18
- YES
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.05Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.0KJun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REWARD$0.41Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$83.04Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.2KJun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.0KJun 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$17.75Jun 12, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.93Jun 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$393.57Jun 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$696.00Jun 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.90Jun 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.07Jun 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.52Jun 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$38.26Jun 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$834.57Jun 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.43Jun 12, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$222.50Jun 12, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$255.02Jun 12, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $261.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 11:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.