Glass-Cocktail
0x78d2ad24aafa9344976a590eebc0fae5a49d7a2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-84.78
Realised
$656.64
Win rate
60%
136 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- $80K
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
219 shares @ 42.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$218.78
$124.83
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
63 shares @ 15.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$63.00
$53.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 33.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.83
$32.99
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
37 shares @ 41.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$36.97
$21.61
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
30 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$30.07
$17.44
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
30 shares @ 66.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.52
$9.79
- YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
27 shares @ 36.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.84
$17.00
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$25.61
$16.13
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
25 shares @ 48.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$24.55
$12.72
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
25 shares @ 56.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.13
$8.83
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
81/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 136 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
136 closed markets, 60% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 136 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.