Marvelous-Exhaust
0x78f5a4616d7f4542ef39852f19fe9e34d689d1be
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 18?
895 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
879 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 24?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 24?
485 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 October 13-19?
359 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?$98.10Jun 1, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?$98.00May 30, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$98.10May 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$98.00May 28, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$52.10May 23, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?$46.05May 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?$46.00May 23, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 24?$1.07May 23, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$52.01May 23, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?$99.10May 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?$99.00May 13, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$99.10May 13, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$99.00May 8, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 30?$99.10May 8, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 30?$99.01Apr 30, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$100.09Apr 30, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$100.00Apr 21, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$1.85Apr 21, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$101.19Apr 21, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$101.00Apr 16, 06:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $72.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".