0x790e2b8892c2275783bcd6852ba91aeab5951d36
0x790e2b8892c2275783bcd6852ba91aeab5951d36
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.95
Total PnL
$-5.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.17
$3.17
- YES
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 29.5¢·now 23.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
24 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?$1.02Jul 1, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.04Jun 8, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.08Jun 8, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.02Jun 2, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?$0.00Mar 23, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?$0.00Mar 23, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 23, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Mar 19, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$1.00Mar 19, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$1.68Mar 8, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$0.00Mar 1, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.05Feb 22, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?$1.00Feb 18, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?$1.00Feb 18, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Feb 18, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Feb 18, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.00Feb 18, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.20Feb 18, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$1.00Feb 18, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 18:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 17:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.