Watery-Bribery
0x791976e861822c1f6d13f719d2c80e8deb9b72b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$195.0K
Total PnL
$5.9K
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
147391 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$146.1K
$17.9K
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
45969 shares @ 88.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$46.0K
$5.4K
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
1091 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$185.51
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
584 shares @ 74.3¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$466.86
$33.11
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
388 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$384.27
$77.94
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
9837 shares @ 2.8¢·now 3.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$309.87
$36.61
- YES
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
290 shares @ 75.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$281.01
$62.51
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
153 shares @ 68.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$151.93
$46.71
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
637 shares @ 19.4¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$137.05
$13.56
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
846 shares @ 83.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$105.75
$-603.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$14.9KMay 31, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$38.73May 28, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$9.5KMay 23, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$545.56May 23, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$545.56May 23, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$44.13May 23, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$982.00May 23, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.2KMay 23, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$98.20May 23, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$12.8KMay 23, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$85.15May 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$2.5KMay 23, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$2.6KMay 23, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$2.6KMay 14, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$306.33May 4, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$39.9KApr 27, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$12.7KApr 26, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.2KApr 25, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$8.5KApr 25, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.0KApr 25, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$22.3K
Trades
2
Buy share
42%
Window
May 23, 01:10 UTC → May 23, 01:26 UTC
- BUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$9.5K@99¢May 23, 01:26 UTC
- SELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$12.9K@99¢May 23, 01:02 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$22.3K
2 trades
Buy share
42%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
$12.9K · 58% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 18:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.